Research

What happens
when taste
gets a shelf.

Ten things publishers, libraries and creators have already proved about readers — and what each one changed about how PaperBoxd is built. Every figure here is somebody else’s, and cited.

Libraries
OverDrive / Libby
820M
Digital checkouts2025
Creators
BookTok, Europe
50M
Books sold2025
Audio
US audiobook sales
$2.43B
Publishers Weekly2025
820M
Digital library checkouts, 2025
50M+
BookTok books sold in Europe, 2025
$2.43B
US audiobook sales, 2025
38%
Young readers who trust BookTok most

Figures published by OverDrive, TikTok and the Audio Publishers Association. Sources linked with each write-up below.

Selected reading

Ten shelves,
ten arguments.

Their Eyes Were Watching God
Publishing · Planned
Revamping the ARC, without printing a single one

Not built yet. The plan: pre-release shelves instead of print mailings, where readers log reactions and dog-eared quotes as they go — so the conversation runs the length of the book rather than arriving as one post at the end.

Digital-firstthe model NetGalley made standardRead case
Demon Copperhead
Creators · Escaping the algorithm
A shelf that outlives the video

Monthly wrap-ups and favourites as native lists rather than a video that scrolls away, with the profile as the link-in-bio destination.

38%young readers trust BookTok over friendsRead case
Lonesome Dove
Libraries · Planned
Local availability, attached to the moment of discovery

Not built yet. The plan: add a book to a shelf and a quiet local-availability tag appears — wait time, or an instant digital loan from the branch you already belong to.

820Mdigital library checkouts, 2025Read case
Klara & the Sun
Product · Planned
Abandoning a book became a valid reading decision

Not built yet. The plan: a DNF status that takes the one line of why — no broken streak, no guilt, no pretending you finished it.

Mood-firsthow StoryGraph grew against GoodreadsRead case
Trust
Bookshops · Planned
A front-of-shop table the neighbourhood picked

Not built yet. The plan: a shop-scoped view of what readers nearby are shelving and finishing, refreshed weekly — sitting alongside the staff picks rather than replacing them.

50M+BookTok books sold in Europe, 2025Read case
Pachinko
Education · Reading without a reading log
Self-selection beats the compliance worksheet

No worksheets, no comprehension quizzes. Self-selected books, a private list the class shares, a leaderboard ranked on consistency, and abandoning a book counted as a real choice.

164kstudents in the PISA reading analysisRead case
Beloved
Audio · Planned
Making listening count like pages read

Progress already reads as a percentage rather than a page count. Next: a format you can actually set, and minutes logged like pages converting to that same percentage, so the ebook, the audiobook and the paperback of one title stay comparable on the same shelf.

$2.43BUS audiobook sales, 2025Read case
Master & Margarita
Migration · Bringing a decade with you
Ten years of Goodreads, imported free

Export the CSV, drop it in during onboarding. Matching runs ISBN first, then title and author, and anything it can't find is skipped and counted for you afterwards.

Freewhat importing costs here, on every accountRead case
Remains of the Day
Product · Vibe search
Asking for a feeling, not a genre

One open field instead of a genre dropdown. Describe the mood you want to be in and the search answers in books.

Mood + pacethe axis competitors converged onRead case
The Left Hand of Darkness
Data · Planned
Readers don't have genres, they have weather

Planned: model the free-text reason alongside the star, and cluster on how a book felt rather than which shelf it files under.

50M+books sold by feeling, not categoryRead case
01 · Publishing · Planned

Revamping the ARC, without printing a single one

The challenge

Print ARC distribution is expensive, review rates are low, and the buzz it does create is scattered across platforms that never convert into pre-orders.

What PaperBoxd will do

Planned, not shipped: pre-release shelves gated to early readers, with reactions posted during the read rather than after finishing. There is no publisher-facing product today.

The evidence

This digital-first, social-proof approach is the model NetGalley has made the industry standard for getting secure digital review copies to reviewers, influencers and librarians ahead of publication. NetGalley has since extended it toward consumers with Booktrovert, letting publishers run direct-to-reader giveaways and discovery campaigns.

BooktrovertNetGalley's direct-to-reader extension of the same model
02 · Creators · Escaping the algorithm

A shelf that outlives the video

The challenge

Video algorithms reward trending audio and fast cuts, which quietly suppresses the deep-dive recommendation content book creators are actually good at.

What PaperBoxd does

Keep the videos, move the canonical list to PaperBoxd — named by hyper-specific mood rather than genre, since a list here is just a shelf with a point of view.

The evidence

Niche, identity-driven creator recommendation is measurably powerful: a UK study reported by State of Digital Publishing found 38% of young people rely on BookTok for recommendations over family and friends, and 68% said it made them read a book they would not otherwise have considered. The same dynamic pushed Colleen Hoover past 20 million copies sold globally, and Penguin Random House's creator campaign for Last Night at the Telegraph Club produced a sevenfold sales increase.

38%Of young readers who trust BookTok over friends and family
68%Who read a book they would not otherwise have considered
03 · Libraries · Planned

Local availability, attached to the moment of discovery

The challenge

Readers discover books socially, then hit friction working out whether their local library has a copy. The intention dies somewhere between the recommendation and the catalogue search.

What PaperBoxd will do

Planned, not shipped: surface holds and instant digital lending inline on the shelf, so borrowing is a tap rather than a separate errand. No library catalogue is integrated today.

The evidence

Demand for frictionless digital lending is enormous and still climbing. OverDrive, which builds Libby, reported 820 million digital library checkouts in 2025 — up nearly 11% on 2024 — with 9.8 million new Libby installs in that year alone.

820MDigital library checkouts industry-wide, 2025 (+11% YoY)
9.8MNew Libby installs in 2025 alone
04 · Product · Planned

Abandoning a book became a valid reading decision

The challenge

The sharpest drop-off in reading apps happens during a slump. Readers who can't finish a book stop logging entirely rather than admit the streak is broken, and the app loses them along with the honest data.

What PaperBoxd will do

Planned, not shipped: a DNF status beside Reading and Finished, taking one line of reason and staying off your books-read count. There is a DNF tab on the profile today, but it lists everything you have started or queued and not finished — the same books as the procrastination wall — rather than the ones you decided to put down. Nothing marks a book abandoned yet, and there is no reason field.

The evidence

This mirrors how The StoryGraph grew against Goodreads — mood-based stats and non-judgemental tracking, including importing Goodreads did-not-finish shelves wholesale, with machine-learning recommendations weighted on mood rather than star ratings. Its own public roadmap carries community requests for granular DNF metrics so readers can see abandonment rates before committing.

WholesaleStoryGraph imports Goodreads did-not-finish shelves outright
Open requestGranular DNF rates sit on StoryGraph's public roadmap
05 · Bookshops · Planned

A front-of-shop table the neighbourhood picked

The challenge

Independent bookshops compete with a recommendation engine that runs 24 hours a day on somebody else's platform, and they see none of the signal it generates about their own neighbourhood.

What PaperBoxd will do

Planned, not shipped: give the shop the local signal — what readers within a few miles are shelving and finishing, refreshed weekly. There is no shop-facing product or location data today.

The evidence

Community-driven recommendation converts at retail scale: TikTok reported that more than 50 million #BookTok-recommended books were sold across Europe in 2025, worth roughly €800 million in its key book markets — demand that arrives in shops already primed rather than needing to be sold from cold.

50M+BookTok-driven book sales across Europe, 2025
€800MValue in TikTok's key European book markets
06 · Education · Reading without a reading log

Self-selection beats the compliance worksheet

The challenge

Compulsory reading logs measure compliance, not reading. Students learn to report what the log rewards, and teachers lose sight of what anyone is actually reading.

What PaperBoxd does

Self-selected books, a private list shared with the class, and a leaderboard that ranks on streak or diary entries instead of pages — so a poetry reader isn't losing to someone speed-running airport thrillers. A Friends tab narrows the board to people you follow, though scope and metric can't yet be combined. These are the existing lists and leaderboard used deliberately; there is no separate classroom product.

The evidence

The research consistently favours self-selection: independent, self-chosen reading is associated with higher engagement, better literacy outcomes and stronger retention, and large-scale PISA analysis across 164,233 secondary students in 24 countries found reading self-perception and metacognitive knowledge robustly correlated with digital reading performance.

164kStudents in the PISA reading-engagement analysis
24Countries covered by that analysis
07 · Audio · Planned

Making listening count like pages read

The challenge

Most trackers treat an audiobook as a second-class edition or refuse to count it, which quietly tells a third of readers that their reading doesn't count.

What PaperBoxd will do

Page progress reads as a percentage today, so editions of one title stay comparable. The rest is planned, not shipped: a Print/Digital/Audio format exists in the data model but there is no way to set it on the web yet, and logging minutes like pages is still to come.

The evidence

Audio is no longer a niche format. The Audio Publishers Association put US audiobook sales at $2.43 billion in 2025, up 9% year on year, with 58% of American adults — an estimated 157 million people — having listened to an audiobook and publishers reporting over 750,000 active titles, a 43% jump on 2024.

$2.43BUS audiobook sales, 2025 (+9% YoY)
157MAmericans who have listened to an audiobook
08 · Migration · Bringing a decade with you

Ten years of Goodreads, imported free

The challenge

A decade of ratings, dates and review text is the single biggest reason people stay on a tracker they've stopped enjoying. Switching means either abandoning that history or trusting an importer to carry it across intact.

What PaperBoxd does

A free importer on every account: shelves and star ratings, matched on ISBN first and title + author as a fallback, with unmatched rows skipped and reported back as a count plus a sample. Dates read, review text and a review step for uncertain matches are all still to come.

The evidence

Goodreads' CSV export is the de facto migration path off the platform, and the ecosystem has grown around it — The StoryGraph's importer is the best-known destination. Keeping migration free on every account, with no tier attached to it, is the design decision here.

CSVThe de facto way to move a decade of reading history
FreeWhat importing costs on PaperBoxd, on every account
10 · Data · Planned

Readers don't have genres, they have weather

The challenge

Star ratings compress everything interesting out of a reading experience. Two five-star books can have nothing in common and one-star reviews are frequently the most useful signal in the dataset.

What PaperBoxd will do

Planned for the embeddings-based recommendation work, not shipped: model the free-text reason alongside the rating, cluster on mood and pace rather than category, and let abandonment be a signal rather than missing data.

The evidence

The industry is moving the same way: mood- and pace-based tagging is StoryGraph's core differentiator, and the scale of social recommendation — 50 million BookTok-driven sales across Europe in 2025 alone — shows readers already navigate by feeling when a platform lets them.

50MBookTok-driven sales across Europe, 2025
Mood + paceStoryGraph's clustering axes, ahead of genre

The organisations named on this page are not affiliated with PaperBoxd and have not endorsed it. Every figure is published third-party reporting, linked at the point it is used, and accurate as of the date of that source. Company and product names are the trademarks of their respective owners, referred to here only to describe their published work.

Deep dive · 010

Feelings,
not genres.

The genre dropdown is a filing system. Nobody browses a library that way — they browse by the mood they’re trying to get into. So PaperBoxd replaces the dropdown with a single open field.

“slow, cold, someone is quietly falling apart”

An actual search that works here
Vibe searchMood over genreOne open fieldOn the web today
Vibe search
“slow, cold, someone is quietly falling apart”
6 matchesSorted by vibe
The Left Hand of Darkness
Beloved
Anna Karenina
Their Eyes Were Watching God
Norwegian Wood
Demon Copperhead
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No team, no partnerships, no roadmap I can promise you. If something here is wrong, or you want a shelf PaperBoxd doesn’t have yet, the email goes straight to me.

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